Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.125812 0.147825 0.172415 0.201904 0.236290 0.275109 0.322249
2025-11-23 0.090323 0.117878 0.151883 0.196866 0.254749 0.326675 0.422809
2025-11-30 0.073330 0.103510 0.143619 0.200686 0.279657 0.384963 0.535952
2025-12-07 0.060807 0.091581 0.135060 0.200736 0.297203 0.433464 0.640341
2025-12-14 0.050401 0.080342 0.124965 0.195983 0.305843 0.468961 0.729175
2025-12-21 0.043366 0.072737 0.118652 0.195215 0.319243 0.511744 0.832598
2025-12-28 0.039336 0.069094 0.117671 0.202158 0.344833 0.575283 0.974816
2026-01-04 0.036351 0.066635 0.118088 0.211121 0.374355 0.647840 1.139413
2026-01-11 0.033172 0.063309 0.116478 0.216196 0.397562 0.712037 1.296717
2026-01-18 0.029730 0.058967 0.112437 0.216277 0.411707 0.761785 1.433854
2026-01-25 0.025828 0.053177 0.104965 0.208985 0.411318 0.785314 1.525776
2026-02-01 0.022332 0.047666 0.097274 0.200195 0.406832 0.800444 1.603078
2026-02-08 0.020069 0.044488 0.094015 0.200317 0.420926 0.854553 1.766413
2026-02-15 0.017513 0.040331 0.088277 0.194762 0.423218 0.886613 1.891535
2026-02-22 0.016126 0.038492 0.087074 0.198477 0.445023 0.960007 2.109314
2026-03-01 0.014611 0.036117 0.084370 0.198519 0.458894 1.018489 2.302613
2026-03-08 0.012942 0.033115 0.079842 0.193816 0.461619 1.053475 2.449133
2026-03-15 0.011746 0.031064 0.077195 0.193057 0.473100 1.108684 2.646796
2026-03-22 0.011145 0.030405 0.077737 0.199925 0.503198 1.208860 2.958474
2026-03-29 0.010699 0.030077 0.079031 0.208791 0.539171 1.326494 3.324467
2026-04-05 0.010080 0.029191 0.078809 0.213812 0.566294 1.426305 3.659261
2026-04-12 0.009280 0.027683 0.076782 0.213892 0.580944 1.497696 3.932644
2026-04-19 0.008244 0.025343 0.072237 0.206678 0.575788 1.519669 4.084660